Finance · Open for opinions
Will the cumulative volume in Polymarket's congressional election prediction markets exceed $300 million by November 1, 2026?
By August 10, 2026, at least $133 million had already been wagered across 7,466 prediction markets on congressional races on… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: November 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
By August 10, 2026, at least $133 million had already been wagered across 7,466 prediction markets on congressional races on Polymarket. Analysts warn that 1% of wallets control most of the volume, creating an illusion of public consensus.
Source: cryptorank.io
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se fontes públicas rastreáveis (CryptoSlate, DeFi Rate ou relatórios da própria Polymarket) confirmarem que o volume total acumulado em mercados de previsão sobre eleições para o Congresso americano na plataforma Polymarket atingiu US$ 300 milhões ou mais até 2026-11-01. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.