Science · Open for opinions
Will Conab or Inmet officially cite El Niño as an influence on the 2026/27 crop season by 10/31/2026?
Early water risk alerts due to El Niño are moving projections for the start of the new grain harvest. 15 opinions, 73% Yes
- Yes — 73%
- No — 27%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 15 opinions
Resolution rules
Early water risk alerts due to El Niño are moving projections for the start of the new grain harvest.
Source: www.climatempo.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 08/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a Conab ou o Inmet publicarem documento oficial no período que cite expressamente o 'El Niño' como fator de influência ou risco para a safra agrícola 2026/27 do Brasil, atestado em seus respectivos sites oficiais. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 73% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 27 points, a wrong one costs about 73.