Finance · Open for opinions
Will Brazil's federal government gross debt exceed 84% of GDP by December 2026?
In September 2026, Brazil's gross debt reached 82.9% of GDP, the highest level since 2021, according to the Central Bank. 87 opinions, 70% No
- Yes — 30%
- No — 70%
Deadline: February 15, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 87 opinions
Resolution rules
In September 2026, Brazil's gross debt reached 82.9% of GDP, the highest level since 2021, according to the Central Bank. The fiscal scenario remains pressured by state-owned enterprises' deficits and record household debt levels.
Source: www1.folha.uol.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o Banco Central do Brasil divulgar dado oficial de dívida bruta igual ou superior a 84% do PIB em qualquer mês de outubro, novembro ou dezembro de 2026. Fonte: Nota de Política Fiscal mensal do Banco Central do Brasil.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 70% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 30 points, a wrong one costs about 70.