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Will US consumer inflation (annual CPI) fall below 3% by March 2027?

Economists surveyed by Bloomberg project that US consumer prices will retreat to an annual rate of 2.4% by the fall of 2027… 86 opinions, 55% Yes

  • Yes — 55%
  • No — 45%

Deadline: April 15, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 86 opinions

Resolution rules

Economists surveyed by Bloomberg project that US consumer prices will retreat to an annual rate of 2.4% by the fall of 2027 (Northern Hemisphere). The current scenario includes the impact of the conflict with Iran on energy prices and Trump's trade policies.

Source: www.washingtonpost.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve com base no índice CPI (Consumer Price Index) publicado pelo Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) dos EUA referente ao mês de março de 2027 (divulgado em abril de 2027). 'Sim' se a variação anual do CPI geral for inferior a 3,0%.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.

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