Finance · Open for opinions
Will the gross debt of the Brazilian federal government exceed 85% of GDP at the close of 2026?
Recent data indicate that public debt has already reached 82.5% of GDP, raising fiscal alarm bells for the next government and… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Recent data indicate that public debt has already reached 82.5% of GDP, raising fiscal alarm bells for the next government and increasing concerns about the sustainability of public accounts.
Source: tvsimbrasil.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o Banco Central do Brasil divulgar, na Nota de Política Fiscal referente a dezembro de 2026, dívida bruta do governo geral superior a 85% do PIB. Fonte: Banco Central do Brasil (bcb.gov.br).
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.