Science · Open for opinions
Will NOAA officially classify the current El Niño as 'very strong' between 09/15 and 10/31/2026?
Considers NOAA announcements regarding the intensity of El Niño between 09/15 and 10/31/2026, given the scenario of growing anomalies. 35 opinions, 86% Yes
- Yes — 86%
- No — 14%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 35 opinions
Resolution rules
Considers NOAA announcements regarding the intensity of El Niño between 09/15 and 10/31/2026, given the scenario of growing anomalies.
Source: www.climatempo.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 15/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a Administração Oceânica e Atmosférica Nacional (NOAA) publicar boletim oficial classificando o atual El Niño como 'muito forte' (very strong) ou atestando anomalia trimestral (ONI) de 2,0°C ou superior. A confirmação deve constar no site oficial (cpc.ncep.noaa.gov). Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 86% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 14 points, a wrong one costs about 86.