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Finance · Open for opinions

Will Kalshi or Polymarket officially announce the closing of an investment round with a $20 billion valuation by November 30, 2026?

Evaluates the closing of new billion-dollar fundraising rounds by leading prediction platforms between 10/17 and 11/30. 81 opinions, 60% No

  • Yes — 40%
  • No — 60%

Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 81 opinions

Resolution rules

Evaluates the closing of new billion-dollar fundraising rounds by leading prediction platforms between 10/17 and 11/30.

Source: coinmarketcap.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Janela de apuração: de 17/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a Kalshi ou a Polymarket anunciarem oficialmente a conclusão de rodada de captação com valuation igual ou superior a US$ 20 bilhões até 30/11/2026, confirmado por comunicado oficial das empresas, Bloomberg ou Reuters. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 60% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 40 points, a wrong one costs about 60.

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