Science · Open for opinions
Will the city of São Paulo have accumulated rainfall above the historical average in October 2026?
Considers measurements in the capital of São Paulo between 10/02 and 10/31 under the projection of above-average rainfall in the… 74 opinions, 65% Yes
- Yes — 65%
- No — 35%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 74 opinions
Resolution rules
Considers measurements in the capital of São Paulo between 10/02 and 10/31 under the projection of above-average rainfall in the Southeast.
Source: metsul.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 02/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos anteriores não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a estação oficial do Mirante de Santana (São Paulo/SP) registrar precipitação mensal acumulada superior à sua média climatológica histórica de outubro, segundo dados oficiais do INMET até 31/10/2026. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.