Finance · Open for opinions
Will the combined monthly volume of Kalshi and Polymarket exceed $60 billion in any month of Q4 2026 (October, November, or December)?
The combined volume of Kalshi and Polymarket doubled from $26 billion in May to approximately $52 billion in July 2026, driven… 62 opinions, 58% No
- Yes — 42%
- No — 58%
Deadline: January 10, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 62 opinions
Resolution rules
The combined volume of Kalshi and Polymarket doubled from $26 billion in May to approximately $52 billion in July 2026, driven primarily by sports betting.
Source: www.pewresearch.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução baseada em dados agregados publicados pelo DeFiRate (defirate.com/prediction-markets/volume/) ou Pew Research para qualquer mês de outubro, novembro ou dezembro de 2026. Se qualquer mês reportar volume ≥ US$ 60 bilhões, resolve 'Sim'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 58% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 42 points, a wrong one costs about 58.