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Science · Open for opinions

Will any official Inmet station in RS accumulate more than 400 mm of rain in October 2026?

Consider measurements between 10/01 and 10/31 following a weather alert for extreme rain and flood risk in the South. 74 opinions, 55% Yes

  • Yes — 55%
  • No — 45%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 74 opinions

Resolution rules

Consider measurements between 10/01 and 10/31 following a weather alert for extreme rain and flood risk in the South.

Source: vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Janela de apuração: de 01/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se ao menos uma estação meteorológica oficial do Inmet no Rio Grande do Sul registrar chuva acumulada superior a 400 mm no período, com base no banco de dados do Inmet. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.

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Will any official Inmet station in RS accumulate more than 400 mm of… — 55% Yes · VoxFi