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Science · Open for opinions

Will the water flow of the Iguaçu Falls exceed 15,000 m³/s by 10/31/2026?

Consider measurements between 10/13 and 10/31 after Paraná records heavy rainfall and a flow rate nearly ten times above average. 79 opinions, 54% No

  • Yes — 46%
  • No — 54%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 79 opinions

Resolution rules

Consider measurements between 10/13 and 10/31 after Paraná records heavy rainfall and a flow rate nearly ten times above average.

Source: metsul.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Janela de apuração: de 13/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o monitoramento hidrológico da Copel registrar vazão instantânea igual ou superior a 15.000 m³/s nas Cataratas do Iguaçu até 31/10/2026. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 54% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 46 points, a wrong one costs about 54.

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Will the water flow of the Iguaçu Falls exceed 15,000 m³/s by… — 54% No · VoxFi