Finance · Open for opinions
Will the Fed raise the interest rate by 25 basis points at the October 2026 meeting?
Polymarket data indicates a 65% probability of a 25 bps rate hike at the October 2026 FOMC meeting, with $15 million in trading… 71 opinions, 65% Yes
- Yes — 65%
- No — 35%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 71 opinions
Resolution rules
Polymarket data indicates a 65% probability of a 25 bps rate hike at the October 2026 FOMC meeting, with $15 million in trading volume.
Source: polymarket.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o comunicado oficial do FOMC divulgado após a reunião de outubro de 2026 anunciar alta de 25 bps na taxa dos Fed Funds. Fonte: site oficial do Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov).
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.