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Will the Federal Reserve raise U.S. interest rates at its December 2026 meeting?

The Fed kept interest rates unchanged at its October 2026 meeting, but stronger-than-expected employment data could put it back on… 88 opinions, 55% Yes

  • Yes — 55%
  • No — 45%

Deadline: December 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 88 opinions

Resolution rules

The Fed kept interest rates unchanged at its October 2026 meeting, but stronger-than-expected employment data could put it back on track for rate hikes to combat persistent U.S. inflation.

Source: www.swissinfo.ch

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução com base no comunicado oficial do Comitê Federal de Mercado Aberto (FOMC) divulgado após a reunião de dezembro de 2026. Se o comunicado indicar elevação da taxa dos fed funds, resolve 'Sim'; se mantida ou reduzida, resolve 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.

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