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Will eurozone inflation exceed 4.5% in any month through February 2027?

Eurozone inflation reached 4% in October 2026, the highest level in three years, up from 3.8% in September, putting upward pressure… 89 opinions, 70% No

  • Yes — 30%
  • No — 70%

Deadline: February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 89 opinions

Resolution rules

Eurozone inflation reached 4% in October 2026, the highest level in three years, up from 3.8% in September, putting upward pressure on European bond yields.

Source: www.theguardian.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se o Eurostat divulgar dado de inflação anual da zona do euro igual ou superior a 4,5% para qualquer mês de novembro de 2026, dezembro de 2026 ou janeiro de 2027. Fonte oficial: comunicado mensal do Eurostat (ec.europa.eu/eurostat).

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 70% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 30 points, a wrong one costs about 70.

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