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Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?

In October 2026, the Fed opted to keep interest rates steady even as PCE inflation accelerated to 3.6% per year in September, up from… 89 opinions, 62% No

  • Yes — 38%
  • No — 62%

Deadline: December 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 89 opinions

Resolution rules

In October 2026, the Fed opted to keep interest rates steady even as PCE inflation accelerated to 3.6% per year in September, up from 3.4% in August. The central bank is monitoring persistent inflationary pressures driven by fuel prices.

Source: www.washingtonpost.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido com base na decisão oficial do FOMC divulgada pelo Federal Reserve em dezembro de 2026. Se a meta da taxa dos fed funds for elevada em relação ao nível de novembro, resolve 'Sim'; caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 62% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 38 points, a wrong one costs about 62.

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