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Politics · Open for opinions

Will Kalshi succeed in reversing the court decision that allows New York to apply its gambling laws to prediction markets?

A court allowed New York to enforce its anti-gambling laws against Kalshi. 22 opinions, 52% Yes

  • Yes — 52%
  • No — 48%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 22 opinions

Resolution rules

A court allowed New York to enforce its anti-gambling laws against Kalshi. The Trump administration expressed support for Kalshi and Polymarket in the litigation. Kalshi is appealing the decision.

Source: www.instagram.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se uma corte federal dos EUA publicar decisão explicitamente revertendo a autorização para o Estado de Nova York aplicar leis de jogo contra a Kalshi, conforme registros oficiais do tribunal (PACER) ou cobertura confirmada por Reuters/Bloomberg/AP. Caso não haja decisão até a data de fechamento, resolve 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.

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