Politics · Open for opinions
Will the salaries of US Congress members increase by December 31, 2026?
On Kalshi, the market on a congressional pay raise shows a 55% probability of approval, with a trading volume of $834 recorded on… 33 opinions, 55% Yes
- Yes — 55%
- No — 45%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 33 opinions
Resolution rules
On Kalshi, the market on a congressional pay raise shows a 55% probability of approval, with a trading volume of $834 recorded on the platform.
Source: kalshi.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se qualquer projeto de lei ou medida orçamentária aumentando formalmente os salários dos membros do Congresso dos EUA for aprovado e sancionado até 31 de dezembro de 2026, conforme confirmado pelo Congressional Record ou pelo Office of Personnel Management. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.