Science · Open for opinions
Will Inmet confirm the occurrence of snow in Brazil between 08/09 and 31/10/2026?
With recent strong polar air masses, the market assesses whether there will be officially recorded late snowfall in the country. 15 opinions, 87% No
- Yes — 13%
- No — 87%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 15 opinions
Resolution rules
With recent strong polar air masses, the market assesses whether there will be officially recorded late snowfall in the country.
Source: metsul.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 08/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o Inmet (Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia) confirmar a ocorrência de neve em território brasileiro em algum dia dentro da janela estipulada, atestado expressamente em boletim, nota ou rede social oficial da entidade. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 87% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 13 points, a wrong one costs about 87.