Finance · Open for opinions
Will Kalshi survive the lawsuit filed by the state of New York by March 2027?
A federal appeals court has already ruled against Kalshi, allowing state regulation of prediction markets. 70 opinions, 69% No
- Yes — 31%
- No — 69%
Deadline: March 20, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 70 opinions
Resolution rules
A federal appeals court has already ruled against Kalshi, allowing state regulation of prediction markets. New York filed a lawsuit claiming Kalshi's operations constitute 'illegal gambling'. The Trump administration publicly supported Kalshi and Polymarket in the legal battle.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se, até 27 de março de 2027, um tribunal federal ou estadual emitir decisão favorável à Kalshi anulando ou suspendendo definitivamente a ação de Nova York. Resolve como 'Não' se o processo seguir em aberto ou resultar em decisão desfavorável à Kalshi. Fonte de resolução: comunicados oficiais da Kalshi, decisões judiciais públicas ou cobertura do Wall Street Journal/Reuters.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 69% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 31 points, a wrong one costs about 69.