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Finance · Open for opinions

Will Copom cut the Selic rate at any meeting in the first quarter of 2027?

A group of business leaders and executives proposed a 'Real Plan for interest rates' to the presidential candidates to bring down the… 86 opinions, 62% No

  • Yes — 38%
  • No — 62%

Deadline: March 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 86 opinions

Resolution rules

A group of business leaders and executives proposed a 'Real Plan for interest rates' to the presidential candidates to bring down the Selic rate in 2027, conditioned on a primary surplus of 1% of GDP and debt below 70% of GDP by 2030.

Source: www1.folha.uol.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução com base na decisão oficial do Comitê de Política Monetária (Copom) do Banco Central do Brasil publicada após as reuniões programadas para janeiro e março de 2027. Mercado resolve 'Sim' se ao menos uma decisão registrar corte na meta da taxa Selic em relação ao valor vigente no encerramento de 2026.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 62% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 38 points, a wrong one costs about 62.

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Will Copom cut the Selic rate at any meeting in the first quarter of… — 62% No · VoxFi