Science · Open for opinions
Will the Eärendil-1 space mirror satellite be launched by October 31, 2026?
Consider the launch of Reflect Orbital's first solar reflection satellite between September 18 and October 31, 2026. 38 opinions, 66% No
- Yes — 34%
- No — 66%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 38 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider the launch of Reflect Orbital's first solar reflection satellite between September 18 and October 31, 2026.
Source: www.sciencenews.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 18/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a startup Reflect Orbital ou a operadora parceira (como a SpaceX) realizarem o lançamento orbital com sucesso do satélite demonstrador Eärendil-1 até 31/10/2026, conforme comunicado oficial da Reflect Orbital, manifesto de voo da SpaceX ou registro da FCC. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 66% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 34 points, a wrong one costs about 66.