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Will the military conflict between the US and Iran have any formal ceasefire or armistice agreement by November 30, 2026?

The war between the US and Iran, ongoing for six months according to sources from August 2026, keeps oil prices elevated and… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

The war between the US and Iran, ongoing for six months according to sources from August 2026, keeps oil prices elevated and pressures the American economy ahead of the midterm elections.

Source: shafaq.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido com base em anúncio oficial de governo dos EUA, Irã ou de organização mediadora reconhecida (ex.: ONU, Qatar) confirmando acordo formal de cessar-fogo ou armistício. Na ausência de tal anúncio até 2026-11-30, resolve 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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