Finance · Open for opinions
Will Brazil's consolidated public sector primary result be positive (a surplus) in the cumulative total for 2026?
The snippet mentions 'expectations of greater fiscal discipline' as one of the factors that led economists to lower their interest… 79 opinions, 70% No
- Yes — 30%
- No — 70%
Deadline: February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 79 opinions
Resolution rules
The snippet mentions 'expectations of greater fiscal discipline' as one of the factors that led economists to lower their interest rate projections for the end of 2026.
Source: www.bloomberglinea.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resultado primário do setor público consolidado acumulado no ano de 2026, conforme nota de política fiscal publicada pelo Banco Central do Brasil (bcb.gov.br) ou pelo Tesouro Nacional (tesouro.fazenda.gov.br). Superávit primário (resultado positivo) resolve 'Sim'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 70% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 30 points, a wrong one costs about 70.