Finance · Open for opinions
Will Brazil's official IPCA in September 2026, released by IBGE, exceed the 0.30% mark?
Follows the final headline inflation data to guide the month's interest rate curve. 36 opinions, 64% Yes
- Yes — 64%
- No — 36%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 36 opinions
Resolution rules
Follows the final headline inflation data to guide the month's interest rate curve.
Source: g1.globo.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se a taxa de inflação calculada pelo Índice Nacional de Preços ao Consumidor Amplo (IPCA), na competência mensal de setembro de 2026, registrar oficialmente uma variação porcentual estritamente superior a 0,30%. O dado validado deve ser extraído do comunicado oficial que será publicado pelo Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística (IBGE) no mês subsequente. O limite para o processamento do informe é 31/10/2026. Números divulgados em 0,30% ou menores dão 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 64% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 36 points, a wrong one costs about 64.