Finance · Open for opinions
Which prediction market platform will lead trading volume in the US in Q4 2026?
In 2026, Kalshi raised $300 million and doubled its valuation to $50 billion, surpassing Polymarket in US users. 20 opinions, 25% Kalshi
- Kalshi — 25%
- Polymarket — 25%
- FanDuel Predicts — 25%
- Other platform — 25%
Deadline: January 15, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
In 2026, Kalshi raised $300 million and doubled its valuation to $50 billion, surpassing Polymarket in US users. Competition between platforms is high after the sector's expansion.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base em dados públicos de volume de negociações (em dólares) no período de outubro a dezembro de 2026, divulgados pelas próprias plataformas, por relatório de analista independente amplamente reconhecido (ex.: The Block, Dune Analytics) ou por fonte jornalística de referência.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Kalshi has 25% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 75 points, a wrong one costs about 25.