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Will the US approve a waiver for civilian and humanitarian flights between Iraq and Iran by October 31, 2026?

Considers negotiations between 09/28 and 10/31 after Iraq formally requested relief from aviation sanctions from the US. 71 opinions, 51% Yes

  • Yes — 51%
  • No — 49%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 71 opinions

Resolution rules

Considers negotiations between 09/28 and 10/31 after Iraq formally requested relief from aviation sanctions from the US.

Source: www.aljazeera.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Janela de apuração: de 28/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se os EUA aprovarem formalmente isenção a restrições aéreas para voos humanitários ou de peregrinação entre Iraque e Irã até 31/10/2026, conforme comunicado oficial do Departamento de Estado/Tesouro dos EUA ou do governo iraquiano. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 51% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 49 points, a wrong one costs about 51.

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Will the US approve a waiver for civilian and humanitarian flights… — 51% Yes · VoxFi