Finance · Open for opinions
Will the combined trading volume in prediction markets (Kalshi + Polymarket) exceed $30 billion by December 31, 2026?
In less than a year, the combined volume of Kalshi and Polymarket jumped from under $5 billion to about $24 billion, signaling… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
In less than a year, the combined volume of Kalshi and Polymarket jumped from under $5 billion to about $24 billion, signaling accelerated growth in the prediction market sector.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se dados públicos divulgados pelas próprias plataformas (blog oficial da Kalshi ou Polymarket) ou por veículo de referência como Bloomberg/Reuters confirmarem volume combinado acumulado superior a US$ 30 bilhões até 31/12/2026.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.