Politics · Open for opinions
Which party will win the US House of Representatives race in the 2026 elections?
Aggregated prediction markets show Democrats with a 91% probability of winning the House and Republicans with 9%, with total… 69 opinions, 88% Democrats
- Democrats — 88%
- Republicans — 12%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 69 opinions
Resolution rules
Aggregated prediction markets show Democrats with a 91% probability of winning the House and Republicans with 9%, with total volume exceeding $23.9 million on Kalshi.
Source: defirate.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base no partido que conquistar a maioria de cadeiras (218 ou mais) na Câmara dos Representantes dos EUA após a apuração oficial das eleições de novembro de 2026, conforme divulgado pelo Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives ou pelo Associated Press Election Results.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Democrats has 88% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 12 points, a wrong one costs about 88.