Politics · Open for opinions
Will the US Congress pass federal legislation regulating prediction markets (such as Kalshi and Polymarket) by March 2027?
Legislative efforts to regulate prediction markets in the US Congress remain stalled, even with some platforms supporting regulatory… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: March 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Legislative efforts to regulate prediction markets in the US Congress remain stalled, even with some platforms supporting regulatory guardrails. The sector's growth and legal battles with states increase pressure for a federal solution.
Source: www.notus.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se um projeto de lei federal sobre regulação de mercados de previsão for aprovado por ambas as câmaras do Congresso e sancionado pelo presidente dos EUA até 2027-03-01, conforme registro no congress.gov. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.