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Science · Open for opinions

Will September 2026 officially be the rainiest month in the history of the city of São Paulo?

With almost 200 mm accumulated in just 12 days, the city of São Paulo is approaching the historical rainfall record for the month of… 28 opinions, 64% Yes

  • Yes — 64%
  • No — 36%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 28 opinions

Resolution rules

With almost 200 mm accumulated in just 12 days, the city of São Paulo is approaching the historical rainfall record for the month of September.

Source: metsul.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se o Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) confirmar oficialmente que setembro de 2026 registrou o maior volume de precipitação acumulada para o mês na estação do Mirante de Santana (SP) em sua série histórica. A confirmação ou o dado consolidado em base oficial deve ser divulgado pelos canais do INMET até 31/10/2026. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 64% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 36 points, a wrong one costs about 64.

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Will September 2026 officially be the rainiest month in the history… — 64% Yes · VoxFi