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Which range will the US annual inflation (CPI) be in for the December 2026 report?
US inflation rose from 3.4% to 3.7% between August and September 2026, driven by fuel prices (reflecting the… 80 opinions, 53% Between 3.5% and 4.0%
- Below 3.0% — 5%
- Between 3.0% and 3.5% — 18%
- Between 3.5% and 4.0% — 53%
- Above 4.0% — 25%
Deadline: January 20, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 80 opinions
Resolution rules
US inflation rose from 3.4% to 3.7% between August and September 2026, driven by fuel prices (reflecting the conflict in Iran) and accelerated investments in AI infrastructure. The Fed is monitoring the trajectory to calibrate its monetary policy.
Source: globalnews.ca
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido com base no relatório de CPI de dezembro de 2026 divulgado pelo Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) dos EUA, previsto para meados de janeiro de 2027. O mercado resolve com a opção correspondente à variação anual oficial do CPI no mês de referência.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Between 3.5% and 4.0% has 53% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 47 points, a wrong one costs about 53.