World · Open for opinions
Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates at its December 2026 meeting?
In October 2026, the Fed kept the rate at ~3.9% under Chair Kevin Warsh, citing still-elevated inflation. 89 opinions, 72% Yes
- Yes — 72%
- No — 28%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 89 opinions
Resolution rules
In October 2026, the Fed kept the rate at ~3.9% under Chair Kevin Warsh, citing still-elevated inflation. Most economists expect a 0.25 percentage point hike in December.
Source: www.pbs.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o comunicado oficial do Federal Reserve após a reunião do FOMC de dezembro de 2026 anunciar elevação da taxa dos Fed Funds em relação ao nível atual de ~3,9%. Resolve como 'Não' se mantiver ou cortar.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 72% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 28 points, a wrong one costs about 72.