Finance · Open for opinions
Will the Central Government post a primary deficit in September 2026?
In August 2026, the Central Government closed with a primary deficit of R$ 13.6 billion, highlighted by the R$ 18.6 billion… 72 opinions, 78% Yes
- Yes — 78%
- No — 22%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 72 opinions
Resolution rules
In August 2026, the Central Government closed with a primary deficit of R$ 13.6 billion, highlighted by the R$ 18.6 billion shortfall in Social Security, partially offset by the R$ 5 billion surplus from the National Treasury and Central Bank.
Source: oglobo.globo.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o resultado primário do Governo Central (Tesouro Nacional + Banco Central + Previdência Social) referente a setembro de 2026 for negativo, conforme divulgação oficial do Tesouro Nacional/STN. Resolve como 'Não' se o resultado for nulo ou superavitário.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 78% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 22 points, a wrong one costs about 78.