Science · Open for opinions
Will Porto Alegre have an accumulated rainfall of at least 150 mm between 09/24 and 10/31/2026?
Consider rainy spring forecasts under the impact of El Niño in the South between 09/24 and 10/31. 62 opinions, 60% Yes
- Yes — 60%
- No — 40%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 62 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider rainy spring forecasts under the impact of El Niño in the South between 09/24 and 10/31.
Source: metsul.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 24/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a estação do INMET em Porto Alegre (RS) registrar precipitação acumulada total igual ou superior a 150,0 mm até 31/10/2026, conforme dados oficiais do Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET). Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 60% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 40 points, a wrong one costs about 60.