Politics · Open for opinions
Will US regulators impose formal restrictions on crypto-based prediction market operators (such as Polymarket) by February 28, 2027?
Prediction market operators, including Polymarket and Kalshi, are facing regulatory scrutiny in the US due to the rapid growth and… 21 opinions, 52% No
- Yes — 48%
- No — 52%
Deadline: February 15, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 21 opinions
Resolution rules
Prediction market operators, including Polymarket and Kalshi, are facing regulatory scrutiny in the US due to the rapid growth and popularity of crypto-based markets.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se a CFTC, SEC ou outro órgão regulador federal dos EUA publicar ordem, regulamentação ou processo formal restringindo operações de plataformas de mercados de previsão baseadas em criptomoedas até 28/02/2027, conforme registro público no Federal Register ou comunicado oficial do órgão.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.