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Finance · Open for opinions

Which prediction market platform will have the highest valuation by the end of 2026: Kalshi or Polymarket?

Kalshi doubled its valuation to $50 billion after raising $300 million, while Polymarket seeks to raise $1 billion in a new round. 20 opinions, 35% Kalshi

  • Kalshi — 35%
  • Polymarket — 35%
  • Undetermined / Tie — 30%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

Kalshi doubled its valuation to $50 billion after raising $300 million, while Polymarket seeks to raise $1 billion in a new round. The rivalry between the two leads debates about dominance in the U.S. prediction market sector.

Source: www.facebook.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve com base no valuation mais recente reportado por Bloomberg, Reuters ou WSJ até 31/12/2026 para cada plataforma. Se nenhuma avaliação pública estiver disponível para ambas as empresas, resolve como 'Indeterminado / Empatadas'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Kalshi has 35% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 65 points, a wrong one costs about 35.

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