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Politics · Open for opinions

Will distrust in the STF exceed 50% in the next national opinion poll released by December 2026?

Recent research indicates 45% distrust in the STF, with a 10-point increase in one month. 39 opinions, 56% Yes

  • Yes — 56%
  • No — 44%

Deadline: December 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 39 opinions

Resolution rules

Recent research indicates 45% distrust in the STF, with a 10-point increase in one month. The crisis surrounding the Moraes case could amplify this index in upcoming measurements.

Source: www.broadcast.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido pela primeira pesquisa nacional de abrangência divulgada após 15/09/2026 e até 15/12/2026 que mensure confiança no STF, considerando percentual de entrevistados que declaram 'não confiar' na instituição. Fonte: instituto responsável pela pesquisa (Datafolha, Ipec, Atlas etc.).

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 56% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 44 points, a wrong one costs about 56.

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Will distrust in the STF exceed 50% in the next national opinion… — 56% Yes · VoxFi