World · Open for opinions
Will the conflict between the US/allies and Iran in the Strait of Hormuz result in a formal de-escalation agreement by the end of 2026?
According to the Brookings Institution, the prolonged conflict with Iran and disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz have inflated… 82 opinions, 85% No
- Yes — 15%
- No — 85%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 82 opinions
Resolution rules
According to the Brookings Institution, the prolonged conflict with Iran and disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz have inflated gasoline and diesel prices in the US, putting pressure on consumers and supply chains, and influencing the November 2026 US midterm elections.
Source: www.brookings.edu
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com 'Sim' se até 31 de dezembro de 2026 for anunciado publicamente um acordo formal de cessar-fogo, armistício ou desescalada militar envolvendo EUA e Irã no contexto do Estreito de Ormuz, confirmado por comunicado oficial de ao menos um dos governos ou por organismo internacional reconhecido (ONU, UE). Resolve 'Não' caso contrário.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 85% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 15 points, a wrong one costs about 85.