Finance · Open for opinions
Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates by 25 basis points at the October 2026 meeting?
Polymarket data indicates a 65% probability of a 25 bps rate hike at the upcoming Fed meeting in October 2026, with a trading volume… 71 opinions, 65% Yes
- Yes — 65%
- No — 35%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 71 opinions
Resolution rules
Polymarket data indicates a 65% probability of a 25 bps rate hike at the upcoming Fed meeting in October 2026, with a trading volume of $15 million.
Source: polymarket.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o FOMC anunciar elevação de exatamente 25 bps na reunião de outubro de 2026; resolve 'Não' caso o Fed mantenha, corte ou altere em magnitude diferente. Fonte: comunicado oficial do Federal Reserve em federalreserve.gov.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.