Finance · Open for opinions
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.11% on Oct 30, 2026?
If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. 80 opinions, 81% No
- Yes — 19%
- No — 81%
Deadline: October 30, 2026 at 07:30 PM UTC · 80 opinions
Resolution rules
If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.11% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: kalshi.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
A verifiable fact decides the outcome, such as a final score, a price or an official announcement. Once it happens, the event is marked as resolved and the correct option is shown on this page.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 81% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 19 points, a wrong one costs about 81.