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Will the US and Iran sign a formal ceasefire agreement by 11/30/2026?

Consider truce agreements between 10/08 and 11/30 amid withdrawal conditions demanded by Tehran. 79 opinions, 65% No

  • Yes — 35%
  • No — 65%

Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 79 opinions

Resolution rules

Consider truce agreements between 10/08 and 11/30 amid withdrawal conditions demanded by Tehran.

Source: apnews.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Janela de apuração: de 08/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se os governos de EUA e Irã anunciarem conjuntamente um acordo formal de cessar-fogo no conflito até 30/11/2026, conforme confirmado por declaração oficial de ambos os governos ou reportado por Reuters, AP ou AFP. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.

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Will the US and Iran sign a formal ceasefire agreement by 11/30/2026? — 65% No · VoxFi