World · Open for opinions
Will the 10-year US Treasury yield close November 2026 above 4.5% per annum?
After October 2026 inflation data showed a surprising rise to 3.7%, 2-year and 10-year US Treasury yields climbed toward multi-year… 80 opinions, 63% Yes
- Yes — 63%
- No — 38%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 80 opinions
Resolution rules
After October 2026 inflation data showed a surprising rise to 3.7%, 2-year and 10-year US Treasury yields climbed toward multi-year highs, with US government borrowing costs rising, exacerbating fiscal concerns raised by the IMF.
Source: www.theguardian.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o rendimento (yield) do U.S. Treasury de 10 anos registrar fechamento acima de 4,50% ao ano no último pregão de novembro de 2026, conforme dados do U.S. Department of the Treasury (home.treasury.gov) ou do Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov). Resolve como 'Não' caso contrário.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 63% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 37 points, a wrong one costs about 63.