World · Open for opinions
Will the governments of the United States and Iran sign a formal ceasefire agreement by 10/31/2026?
Donald Trump recently stated that direct conflict with Iran will not end before the American legislative elections in November. 25 opinions, 84% No
- Yes — 16%
- No — 84%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 25 opinions
Resolution rules
Donald Trump recently stated that direct conflict with Iran will not end before the American legislative elections in November.
Source: www.reuters.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 11/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Resolve como 'Sim' se representantes oficiais dos EUA e do Irã declararem publicamente a aceitação mútua de um cessar-fogo formal no atual conflito armado dentro da janela de apuração, confirmado por comunicados da Casa Branca ou agências como Reuters, AP ou AFP. Pausas unilaterais não contam. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 84% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 16 points, a wrong one costs about 84.