World · Open for opinions
Will US annual inflation (CPI) be above 3.5% in the report for October 2026?
The latest CPI report before the November 2026 elections registered inflation of 3.7% over the preceding 12 months, above the Fed's… 83 opinions, 60% Yes
- Yes — 60%
- No — 40%
Deadline: November 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 83 opinions
Resolution rules
The latest CPI report before the November 2026 elections registered inflation of 3.7% over the preceding 12 months, above the Fed's target. Energy price pressures stemming from conflicts in the Strait of Hormuz and tariffs are keeping inflation elevated.
Source: www.wsls.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com 'Sim' se o relatório oficial do Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) dos EUA para o CPI de outubro de 2026 (divulgado em novembro de 2026) registrar variação anual acima de 3,5%. Resolve 'Não' caso o índice fique igual ou abaixo de 3,5%.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 60% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 40 points, a wrong one costs about 60.