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Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at the December 2026 FOMC meeting?

The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged in October 2026 even as US inflation (PCE) accelerated to 3.6% per year in… 89 opinions, 72% No

  • Yes — 28%
  • No — 72%

Deadline: December 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 89 opinions

Resolution rules

The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged in October 2026 even as US inflation (PCE) accelerated to 3.6% per year in September, pressured by fuel prices.

Source: www.aljazeera.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se o comunicado oficial do FOMC publicado em dezembro de 2026 indicar redução na taxa dos Fed Funds em relação ao nível vigente em novembro de 2026. Resolve como 'Não' caso a taxa seja mantida ou elevada. Fonte: comunicado oficial do Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov).

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 72% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 28 points, a wrong one costs about 72.

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