World · Open for opinions
Will the US Federal Reserve raise the federal funds rate at its December 2026 meeting?
PCE inflation rose to 3.6% in September 2026, above the Fed's 2% target, while GDP grew 3.4% in the third quarter. 89 opinions, 62% No
- Yes — 38%
- No — 62%
Deadline: December 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 89 opinions
Resolution rules
PCE inflation rose to 3.6% in September 2026, above the Fed's 2% target, while GDP grew 3.4% in the third quarter. The market is debating whether the central bank will need to tighten monetary policy again.
Source: www.pbs.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) anunciar elevação da taxa dos fed funds na reunião de dezembro de 2026. Resolve 'Não' se o FOMC mantiver ou reduzir a taxa. Fonte: comunicado oficial do Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov).
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 62% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 38 points, a wrong one costs about 62.