Science · Open for opinions
Will SpaceX successfully complete at least one Earth orbit with Starship by October 31, 2026?
Consider the execution of the first full orbital flight of Starship between September 21 and October 31. 44 opinions, 55% No
- Yes — 45%
- No — 55%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 44 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider the execution of the first full orbital flight of Starship between September 21 and October 31.
Source: www.newscientist.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 21/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a SpaceX realizar o próximo voo de teste da Starship e confirmar a inserção orbital completa e bem-sucedida ao redor da Terra até 31/10/2026, conforme comunicado oficial da SpaceX, da FAA ou transmissão técnica oficial da missão. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.