Finance · Open for opinions
Will the commercial dollar close above R$ 5.40 by October 31, 2026?
The commercial dollar fluctuated between R$ 5.17 and R$ 5.22 in the trading sessions on 01-02/10/2026, pressured by Treasuries,… 74 opinions, 70% No
- Yes — 30%
- No — 70%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 74 opinions
Resolution rules
The commercial dollar fluctuated between R$ 5.17 and R$ 5.22 in the trading sessions on 01-02/10/2026, pressured by Treasuries, rising oil prices, and geopolitical tension. The domestic electoral scenario and US interest rates are additional risk factors.
Source: bolsaemercado.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se a cotação do dólar comercial (PTAX de fechamento divulgada pelo Banco Central do Brasil) atingir ou superar R$ 5,40 em qualquer sessão até 31/10/2026.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 70% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 30 points, a wrong one costs about 70.