Finance · Open for opinions
Will the median projection for Brazilian GDP for 2027 in the Focus Report fall below 1.5% by October 31, 2026?
Economic growth forecasts are retreating in the Central Bank's Focus survey; the estimate for 2027 is already at 1.5% with risk of… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Economic growth forecasts are retreating in the Central Bank's Focus survey; the estimate for 2027 is already at 1.5% with risk of downward revision.
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Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se qualquer edição do Relatório Focus (Banco Central do Brasil) divulgada entre 2026-08-19 e 2026-10-31 mostrar mediana de crescimento do PIB para 2027 abaixo de 1,50%. Fonte oficial: https://www.bcb.gov.br/publicacoes/focus
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.