Politics · Open for opinions
Will Democrats recapture the majority in the US House of Representatives in the November 2026 midterms?
With Trump's approval rating falling, driven by inflation and the costs of the war with Iran, analysts are assessing whether the… 72 opinions, 51% Yes
- Yes — 51%
- No — 49%
Deadline: November 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 72 opinions
Resolution rules
With Trump's approval rating falling, driven by inflation and the costs of the war with Iran, analysts are assessing whether the unfavorable economic scenario will favor Democrats in the midterms, according to a report by The Guardian on 09/28/2026.
Source: www.theguardian.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução 'Sim' se os democratas obtiverem 218 ou mais assentos na Câmara dos Representantes após a apuração oficial das eleições de novembro de 2026, conforme resultado certificado pelo Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives (clerk.house.gov). Caso contrário, 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 51% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 49 points, a wrong one costs about 51.